MicroStrategy’s stock is currently performing the emotional support Bitcoin it bought on Feb 23 isn’t enough to stop it from spiraling. The company splurged $40 million on BTC, but the stock price is now acting like it just found out your ex is moving in with their new BFF.
On Feb 24, MSTR dipped over 9%-a slump that would make your Netflix binge feel like a victory. But then, on Feb 25, it bounced 16%, because nothing says “I’m stable” like a stock that acts like it’s on a dating app. At press time, it’s down 3% since yesterday, and if you look at the six-month chart, it’s basically asking for a group hug. The stock is down 63% since last summer, while Bitcoin’s stash keeps growing like it’s at a buffet and someone forgot to tell it to stop.
Latest $40M Bitcoin Buy: Not Even a Hug From BTC Can Save This
MicroStrategy added 592 Bitcoin on Feb 23, spending $40 million at $67k a coin. Total holdings? 717,722 Bitcoin. Average cost basis? $76k. That’s like buying a house during a housing crash and then crying when the mortgage rates go up. Normally, this kind of buying would be a confidence boost, but MSTR’s stock is currently in “I just got ghosted by my entire investment portfolio” mode.
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The stock briefly hit $137 on Feb 25, riding Bitcoin’s rebound from $64.5k to $69.4k. But when Bitcoin cooled off, MSTR followed suit like it was in a toxic relationship. This shows MicroStrategy is trading like a Bitcoin proxy with a superiority complex. When BTC falters, MSTR falls faster than your self-esteem after a bad haircut.
This dynamic didn’t change with the latest buy. Now the real question is: Are institutional investors still on board, or are they already packing their bags for the next hot stock?
Institutional Money Flow: “We’re Here… Maybe?”
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator is now throwing up red flags like it’s at a party and the host just said “last call.” CMF measures if big investors are buying or selling. When it’s above zero, they’re accumulating. When it’s below, they’re fleeing. Earlier this year, CMF was dancing above zero while MSTR’s stock was falling-it was a bullish divergence that felt like a surprise birthday party. But now? CMF is flatlining like it’s waiting for a defibrillator. And this shift happened after the latest Bitcoin buy. Institutions aren’t buying the BTC love story anymore.
This disconnect is like when your friend says they love your new haircut, but they’re secretly Googling “how to fake a migraine.” The CMF’s next move might decide MSTR’s fate-or at least its dignity.
Bearish Divergence: The Stock’s Ex Just Texted
The RSI, which measures momentum, showed a bearish divergence before the recent drop. Between Dec 9 and Feb 25, MSTR made a lower high while RSI made a higher one. That’s like saying “I’m doing great!” while slowly packing your bags. This pattern is a red flag for major pullbacks. In January, a similar divergence led to a 45% crash. In February, it caused a 13% dip. Now, the current divergence is nibbling at gains like a raccoon in your kitchen.
If this trend continues, MSTR could be heading toward the $70 zone. That’s not a vacation spot-it’s a support level that’s been tested like a reality TV contestant’s patience. The only way to reverse this is if MSTR breaks $155, which would be like finally finding a decent latte at a gas station. Until then, shareholders are stuck with a stock that’s trading like it’s on a reality show and the judges just voted it off the island.
MSTR’s Breakdown: A Love Letter to $70
The stock has already broken below a bear flag pattern, which is a fancy way of saying “here we go again.” Current support levels are at $119, $106, and $85. But the Fibonacci retracement points toward $71, which is basically the stock’s version of a midlife crisis. On the upside, MSTR needs to reclaim $139 to avoid being written off as a lost cause. But unless it breaks $155, the bearish structure stays in place like a restraining order from the market.
Till then, MicroStrategy remains a stock that’s trading like it’s in a rom-com where the leading man keeps breaking up with the leading lady. And honestly? The audience is ready for a new genre.
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2026-02-26 22:43