Although Bitcoin is currently maintaining its value above key price points, the market hasn’t yet seen enough new investment to spark a major, sustained price increase. Quick, temporary gains can happen with trading strategies and speculation, but a real bull run usually needs consistent, large-scale investment from institutions, funds, and new individual investors.
The Liquidity Gap Preventing Bitcoin From Full Expansion
Bitcoin needs a substantial increase in investment to definitively signal the beginning of a strong bull market. Current data suggests the upward momentum isn’t strong enough yet. Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, noted on X that the realized market capitalization impulse – a key indicator – is currently just below zero, which is now acting as a temporary barrier to further price increases.
If the metric stays below zero, it suggests fewer funds are entering the market, which could lead to lower prices for Bitcoin in the near future. However, if it rises decisively above zero, it indicates new investment is coming in, potentially signaling a quicker end to the current downturn and a move towards price increases.

Currently, the indicator hasn’t reached a key level, so Joao advises against assuming a new bull market has begun. While the market feels positive, the data doesn’t yet show enough strong investment coming in to reliably support a price increase.
Is Bitcoin Entering The Early Stages Of A Trend Reversal?
Bitcoin is beginning to show some potential weaknesses after failing to break through a key price level. A trader known as CGT Trader has observed that during its recent price increase, Bitcoin rarely showed a pattern of decreasing highs. When it did, this pattern usually only happened once before the price continued to rise again.
The recent price movements are beginning to break away from the established trend. Bitcoin is currently fluctuating within a key resistance area, and it’s created three lower highs in a row without yet dropping to a new low.
According to CGT Trader, the market isn’t definitively heading downwards yet, as Bitcoin hasn’t officially reached a new low. However, the fact that it keeps failing to break through resistance levels indicates the recent upward trend is weakening, and buyers are having trouble maintaining their buying power.
The key thing to watch is if Bitcoin starts making both lower highs and lower lows. If this happens, it would suggest a significant change in the market, possibly meaning the recent price increase was a false rally and a larger downward trend is starting.

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2026-05-14 22:05