For several months, XRP’s price has remained fairly stable, fluctuating between $1.28 and $1.45. This performance is weaker than most other cryptocurrencies, and trading activity from individual investors has decreased. For example, trading volume on Coinbase has dropped 18% compared to last year, indicating less interest during this period of price stagnation.
There’s a significant technical hurdle for price increases. Roughly 1.16 billion tokens are currently held by people who bought at higher prices and are now looking to sell, creating a large selling pressure right above the current price. This ‘wall’ of sellers has repeatedly stopped the price from going up, even when there’s been positive news, effectively cancelling out any upward momentum.
The Level That Changes Everything
As a crypto investor, I’ve been watching XRP closely, and the technical analysis is pretty interesting. It looks like $1.50 is a key price level to watch. Reports suggest XRP is finishing up a ‘cup and handle’ pattern that’s been forming for months, and $1.50 seems to be the point where the price could really swing either way โ a breakout or a pullback.
If the price clearly rises above that point, it would suggest the selling pressure is easing and could lead to a price increase, potentially reaching between $1.65 and $1.80, with $1.77 being the most likely target.
Institutions Are Locking Supply Away
As an analyst, I’m seeing a clear divergence between what retail investors are doing and what institutions are doing with XRP. We observed significant institutional investment in April 2026, with nearly $84 million flowing into spot ETFs. More importantly, institutions are now holding a substantial 769 million XRP tokens in secure, regulated custody โ effectively taking that supply off the market. Onchain data supports this, showing a 14% year-over-year increase in large XRP transactions โ those involving over a million tokens โ which points to institutional activity driving demand.
Over 1.2 billion XRP tokens are currently held in decentralized liquidity pools on the XRP Ledger. With the readily available supply on exchanges decreasing, but institutional buying interest remaining consistent, experts predict a potential price surge if the $1.50 level is surpassed. This situation could lead to a rapid increase in price.
The Risk Analysts Are Flagging
The price will likely stay within its current range until it convincingly breaks above $1.50 with strong trading volume. A common pattern is emerging: individual investors often wait for clear positive price movement before buying, but that’s when larger investors tend to sell. These two groups rarely act at the same time, creating a disconnect between when the public sees opportunity and when institutions are exiting positions.
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2026-05-12 18:59