
What to know:
- Those soothsayers at Bloomberg, peering into the fog, now divine a 75% or higher chance altcoin ETFs will walk among us. Is it prophecy, or just enthusiastic guessing?
- The SEC, long master of delay, must pronounce its oracles by July 2 for a gaggle of hopeful proposals, and must finally lift the veil on the rest before the year’s sun sets. No postponements left—destiny awaits, awkward and unamused.
- The tender and unseasoned altcoins—SUI and company—languish, not yet pressed into the formal review’s steely gaze. Patience, little ones.
Once, in a simpler age, we gazed at the night sky and saw only Bitcoin and Ether, their constellations immutable. But now, restless ETF dreamers whisper: the dawn spreads for other tokens—an expansion, a great migration, a crypto Noah’s Ark, but with sillier names and more paperwork.
Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart—call them modern-day augurs—now assign heroic odds: 75% or better that the SEC, in a fit of uncharacteristic boldness or bureaucratic exhaustion, will open the doors by 2025 for a new parade of spot altcoin ETFs. Faith, fortune, and filling out forms!
There are eight petitions at the regulatory altar. Each bears its digital sigil: solana (SOL) with its whispers of speed, litecoin (LTC) with the aura of faded glory, dogecoin (DOGE) trailing memes and howling shiba inus, XRP riding the storm, and the rest—ADA, AVAX, DOT, HBAR—each convinced of its own cosmic significance. Index and basket-funds, like sensible carpoolers, may reach their destination first. The analysts bet 90% on those bundles passing muster. Apparently, the more the merrier—at least, on paper.
Mark the calendar: July 2. The SEC, pursued by Grayscale, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Hashdex, faces a reckoning—scripts must be read, choices made, gongs sounded. Single-asset bets—SOL, DOGE, XRP, ADA—languish in limbo till October, their fate the stuff of market gossip. Beyond November and December: either bureaucratic peace or chaos unleashed?
Braver souls submitted plans for SUI, Trump Coin (with the audacity of its namesake), and Melania Coin (never underestimate spousal branding). Yet these pups are not yet brought before the regulatory hounds, lacking the sacred 19b-4 filing—the regulator’s equivalent of a golden ticket. Will SUI’s star rise? Seyffart, torn between hope and analyst fatigue, confesses he must “dive in a bit more.” Life, like ETF speculation, remains a sea of maybe.
The mood swung hard when President Trump seized the stage (again), anointing Paul Atkins as the new SEC ringmaster. Atkins, with the weary candor of a man who’s read too many prospectuses, claims innovation has been “stifled” and the rules are due for housekeeping—preferably by someone with a high tolerance for jargon and drama.
So: watch, wait, and remember—when the SEC moves, the coins don’t just rise. They waltz, they pratfall, they meme their way endlessly across the stage while mortals and analysts cry: “Is now the time to buy DOGE?” The universe, as ever, declines to answer.
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2025-05-01 19:17