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Why Stablecoins Are Hoarding Cash: The Hilarious Reality of Crypto Liquidity!

BBG News

Key Observations

The scene unfolds with a curious twist, as stablecoins proliferate in number yet remain stubbornly idle. A staggering sum of $8 billion in USDT emerges from the depths of minting, all the while $5.7 billion is swiftly withdrawn from exchanges. Capital, it seems, has chosen the comfort of sideline seclusion, casting shadows upon an already risk-averse arena.

Tether [USDT] did not choose to recline languidly amidst the tempests of July. Rather, it bore witness to the market’s fevered heartbeat. The cryptocurrency’s stature swelled to $163.60 billion, swelling with nearly $8 billion in fresh minting. A modest 3.72% increase for the month, but if we overlook that bit of fluff, it eerily resembles the most vigorous ascension since November’s dizzying 10.89% leap, wherein appetites for risk were momentarily revived. In clearer terms, one might ponder how Bitcoin’s [BTC] audacious rise to $123k didn’t occur in splendid isolation.

Instead, it harmonized with an infusion of liquidity from stablecoins, perhaps like an orchestra discovering a missing string. However, despite the minting of $5.7 billion in these supposedly stable coins, exchanges faced the biting chill of withdrawal, leaving a notable void in liquidity.

The depiction above provides a vivid tableau: July 2025 was rife with robust outflows of stablecoins (depicted in pink), while inflows (in blue) remained stagnant, marking a striking contrast, much like the unyielding petticoat of Russia against the winter’s breath. One might be tempted to chuckle at the absurdity of it all; that a bulging supply could coexist with such a stark reluctance to engage in risk.

Alas, what we see is a liquidity-deficient world, where capital circulates like a restless spirit yet fails to manifest on order books. Is this a siren call hinting at a more pervasive risk-off disposition, restraining the sweeping tides of market optimism?

Are Stablecoins Indicating a Shift to Risk Aversion?

It is worth noting—while many things remain unnoted—that Bitcoin’s Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) leapt from 9.39 to an airy 10.48 by mid-July, coinciding with the lofty heights of BTC at $123k.

One must consider that a surging SSR hints at waning stablecoin liquidity relative to Bitcoin’s burgeoning market cap, humorously suggesting that dry powder is napping at the helm while BTC makes its audacious ascent.

The narrative of $5.7 billion in net outflows only strengthens the case. Investors appear ever-cautious, opting to hedge rather than dive headfirst, adding resistance akin to a bear wrestling its way up a slippery slope of uncertainty.

Unless and until liquidity re-emerges like a long-lost friend, and SSR succumbs to a more temperate demeanor, capital shall remain in its idle repose, infusing the air with a risk-off tension that may keep BTC’s orbit from expanding further.

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2025-07-29 01:13

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