The Trump 2028 Fantasy: Will He Break the Rules or Just Sell More Hats?
As the Trump Organization is busy hawking “Trump 2028 (Re-write the Rules)” merch, the prediction platform Kalshi has, rather modestly, assigned a 14% chance that Trump might actually manage to get a third term. I mean, why not? It’s only, you know, the Constitution.
The Trump Third-Term Hype: America’s Favorite Betting Game
Donald Trump, the 45th and 47th president (yes, that’s right, he’s *already* a repeat offender), has been tossing around the idea of sticking around until 2033. This little daydream has caused the mainstream media to roll their eyes in that ever-adorable, sarcastic way they do.
Meanwhile, Trump’s online shop is stocked with “Trump 2028 (Re-write the Rules)” hats and shirts. Is this a political movement or just another way to juice his merch sales? Both, probably. These goods have sparked a frenzy on prediction markets, where people are betting real (well, crypto) money on the idea of Trump finding some mysterious loophole to get a third term. On Kalshi, there’s a 14% chance that this little fantasy might come true.
On Polymarket, the odds are even more… let’s say, *realistic*. A wager there, which has a $27,657 trading volume (because why not spend your money on the impossible?), gives Trump a 7% shot at going for that third term. At least, they were more optimistic in early April when it reached 10%. Another $203,239 bet asks if Trump will just outright repeal the term limit amendment. The chances of that? Oh, a solid 5%, which is, you know, still more likely than me winning the lottery.
Oh, and let’s not forget the little $9,353 wager on whether a bill will pass that allows Trump to run for a third term. The probability of this happening? Just a humble 1%. So, not exactly a *slam dunk* there.
Here’s a fun fact: only one president has ever served more than two terms: Franklin D. Roosevelt. He served four terms and stayed until he passed away in 1945. Naturally, the country said, “Let’s never do that again” and passed the 22nd Amendment in 1951, limiting presidents to just two terms. And yet, here we are, with Trump dreaming up his third-term plans like he’s the first to discover that rule.
But let’s be real, folks: while the merchandise and the bets might get us all hyped up, the 22nd Amendment is still holding strong. The idea of a third term remains, for now, a nice piece of political fantasy. In reality, U.S. presidents, since Roosevelt, have respected the term limits. So, feel free to buy the hat, but don’t expect to see any 2033 campaign ads just yet. Sorry, not sorry.
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2025-04-27 23:59