Arthur Hayes, the crypto version of a conspiracy theorist with a PhD in “I Told You So,” claims Tether is secretly preparing for the Fed’s rate-cut party by hoarding gold and BTC. Spoiler: Itâs not a party if youâre betting your entire portfolio on a coin thatâs basically a fancy IOU. đđ¸
Arthur Hayes: Tether Prepares For Low Interest Rate Scenario
The Facts
Arthur Hayes, former CEO of Bitmex, has addressed the latest attestation of Tether, one of the largest cryptocurrency companies in the industry. Because nothing says “trust me” like a company thatâs basically a black hole of financial transparency. đ
According to Hayes, the configuration of assets in Tetherâs balance sheet means that the company is preparing for an upcoming Federal Reserve dovish scenario, as several analysts predict for 2026. Because who wouldnât want to bet on a future where the Fedâs interest rates are lower than a toddlerâs attention span? đ¤ˇââď¸
Hayes stated that the increase in Tetherâs bitcoin and gold holdings is part of a shift to maintain profitability as the Federal Reserve cuts rates, affecting the companyâs inflows. Because nothing says “financial stability” like swapping dollars for digital confetti. đ
He explained:
How I read this audit is they think the Fed will cut rates which crushes their interest income. In response, they are buying gold and BTC that should in theory moon as the price of money falls.
Nonetheless, this could also have dire repercussions for USDTâs backing, as Hayes stated that âa roughly 30% decline in the gold + $ BTC position would wipe out their equity, and then USDT would be in theory insolvent.â Because nothing says “solvency” like a 30% drop in assets that are basically a gamble with a side of uncertainty. đ¤Ż

Why It Is Relevant
If Hayesâs assumptions are correct, with this move, Tetherâs move puts part of USDTâs backup in jeopardy, allowing it to fluctuate as gold and BTC move according to market dynamics. Because nothing says “stable” like a currency thatâs as reliable as a toddlerâs promise to clean their room. đ§¸
Nonetheless, Joseph Ayoubm, former Research Crypto Lead at Citi, stated that Hayes had missed a few things, claiming that this opinion was âhighly misleading,â as Tether produced this attestation with a âmatchingâ philosophy. Because nothing says “transparency” like a company thatâs basically a magician with a spreadsheet. đŠ
This means that Tether only discloses the assets backing the USDT issued, but it still holds other assets and investments that are not publicly disclosed. This undisclosed balance sheet would be composed of equity investments, mining operations, corporate reserves, and possibly more bitcoin, Ayoubm assessed. Because who needs transparency when you can have a mystery box full of financial surprises? đ
Looking Forward
Tetherâs balance sheet and the lack of a proper audit of its assets and holdings will create distrust among some, as the financial standing of a company that has issued over $180 billion in stablecoins is considered uncertain by some. Because nothing says “trustworthy” like a company with more money than a medieval king and no idea how itâs spending it. đ°
FAQ for Tetherâs Recent Attestation
What is the significance of Tetherâs latest attestation?
Former Bitmex CEO Arthur Hayes suggests it indicates Tetherâs preparation for an anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026. Because who doesnât want to bet on a future where the Fedâs policies are as predictable as a toddlerâs mood swings? đ¤ˇââď¸How are Tetherâs asset holdings changing?
Tether is increasing its holdings in bitcoin and gold to maintain profitability amid potential interest income declines from Fed rate cuts. Because nothing says “profitability” like investing in assets that are as volatile as a caffeinated squirrel. đżď¸What are the risks associated with Tetherâs asset strategy?
Hayes warns that a significant drop in gold and bitcoin prices could jeopardize USDTâs backing, leading to potential insolvency. Because nothing says “insolvency” like a 30% drop in assets that are basically a gamble with a side of uncertainty. đ¤ŻWhat do experts say about Tetherâs financial transparency?
Joseph Ayoub from Citi, argues that Tetherâs disclosed assets are only part of a larger, undisclosed balance sheet, dispelling the concerns about its overall financial stability. Because nothing says “stability” like a company thatâs basically a magician with a spreadsheet. đŠ
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2025-12-02 01:49