Ah, Ethereum. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Ethereum has been on a rollercoaster ride in 2025, gaining a whopping 32.6% year-to-date. 📈 That’s right, Ethereum has been outpacing Bitcoin and giving gold and silver a run for their money. But, as with any good drama, there’s more to the story than meets the eye.
Let’s start with the good news: Ethereum’s gains have been impressive, to say the least. In fact, ETH has managed to outperform Bitcoin by a significant margin, with Bitcoin trailing behind with a measly 18.3% gain. 😲 It’s like watching a tortoise try to keep up with a hare, except in this case, the hare is Ethereum, and the tortoise is Bitcoin.
But wait, there’s more! Ethereum hasn’t just been outperforming Bitcoin; it’s also been keeping pace with traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver. While gold and silver have been leading the charge, Ethereum has been holding its own, outperforming not just Bitcoin but also stocks and bonds. 🏆

But before you start celebrating Ethereum’s success, let’s take a closer look at the chart above. Notice anything? That’s right, Ethereum has been trading around 85% above its average cost basis, according to data shared by analyst Maartunn on X (formerly Twitter). Such levels have historically caused strong rallies, as seen in the 2020-2021 bull run. But recent trends paint a different picture.
In March, May, and December 2024, ETH reached similar highs relative to its cost basis, only to form clear local tops shortly after. And now, the chart above shows this pattern repeating, with the MVRV ratio flashing sell signals at elevated levels. 🚨 While ETH remained a strong performer, its current valuation may leave limited room for upside without a reset in market sentiment.

At press time, Ethereum traded at $4,299, holding above its 50-day EMA but struggling to reclaim the highs seen earlier in August. There was a cautious mood, with the RSI flat near the neutral 50 mark and the MACD in a bearish crossover that persisted into September. 📉 The candles showed fading buying pressure after repeated local tops.

Unless ETH breaks decisively above resistance at $4,350, the risk of a pullback toward the $4,000-$4,100 support zone remains in play. In fact, the sideways action shows hesitation, as we wonder whether ETH’s rally had already exhausted its near-term upside. 🤔
So, what’s next for Ethereum? Will it continue to outperform Bitcoin and catch up to gold and silver? Or will it face a pullback due to repeated local tops and fading momentum? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure: Ethereum’s wild ride is far from over. 🎢
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2025-09-08 07:05