Oh, darling, grab your popcorn (and maybe a blockchain decoder ring) because Washington is throwing a tantrum over crypto’s latest fad: betting on whether someone’s going to kick the bucket. Yes, really. A Democratic U.S. Senator from California has decided that crypto prediction markets are the new spin class for the morally bankrupt.
The DEATH BETS Act: Because Nothing Says “Fun” Like Banning Morbid Bets
On March 10, Senator Adam Schiff (California’s resident fun police) and Representative Mike Levin (CA-49, clearly not busy enough) introduced the DEATH BETS Act. Because, you know, nothing screams “legislative priority” like banning people from wagering on whether Nicolás Maduro will still be sipping chai in Caracas next Tuesday. The bill targets prediction markets tied to terrorism, assassination, war, or anyone’s untimely demise on platforms registered with the CFTC. Kalshi, Polymarket, and their crypto cousins? You’re on notice.
Apparently, the current law (the Commodity Exchange Act) gives the CFTC too much wiggle room to decide what’s “contrary to the public interest.” Schiff’s solution? Rip that flexibility out like a Band-Aid. Because heaven forbid regulators use their brains.
“At a time when CFTC Chair Selig is rewriting the rules, we can’t trust them to not accidentally legalize betting on whether your neighbor’s goldfish will survive the week.”
Crypto’s Wild West: Where Morality Goes to Die (and People Bet on It)
Senator Schiff calls prediction markets “the Wild West,” which is rich coming from a man who probably still thinks the internet is a series of tubes. But sure, let’s blame crypto for humanity’s penchant for morbid curiosity. Polymarket’s bets on whether Artemis II would explode or if Ukraine’s Myrnohad would fall? Apparently, that’s a bridge too far for our delicate senators.
And let’s not forget the Iran drama. A bet on whether Ali Khamenei would still be Iran’s Supreme Leader racked up $54 million in trading volume before being paused. Because nothing says “international diplomacy” like a high-stakes crypto wager.
“We can’t have people profiting from war or death. Unless you’re a defense contractor. Then it’s fine.”
What Does This Mean for Traders? Spoiler: More Offshore Shenanigans
Under the DEATH BETS Act, CFTC-supervised platforms will become as exciting as a tax seminar. Meanwhile, the really spicy bets (you know, the ones about war and death) will just migrate to offshore crypto venues. Because nothing says “regulation” like pushing problems into the shadows.
Bets on elections, inflation, and macro data? Still fair game. But betting on whether your ex will finally get their act together? That’s a no-go. Washington’s drawing a line in the sand, and it’s about as clear as a Bridget Jones diary entry after three glasses of Chardonnay.
This isn’t a full ban on crypto prediction markets, but it’s a sign that the next regulatory battle won’t be about Bitcoin or ETFs. It’ll be about whether we can bet on whether your cat will knock over the Christmas tree again this year. Spoiler: probably not.

Cover image from Perplexity, BTCUSDT chart from Tradingview. Because nothing says “serious legislation” like a random crypto chart.
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2026-03-11 15:12