Picture a grand parade of digital dream‑weavers, each clutching a glossy dossier, marching boldly down the crowded avenues of Washington to fetch a tidy, tidy little coin of order from the Council of the Market Makers.
Industry Charts the Concoction of Law
Their inaugural address was a dignified telegram to the illustrious Commodity Futures Trading Commission, saluting it for suggesting that the fine thread of federal oversight ought to weave through the most zany of event contracts.
Led by The Digital Chamber’s newest sorcery-a brigade they call the Prediction Markets Working Group-the brave band demands clearer rules and announces the end of their beloved “enforcement‑first” draconian dance.
They plan to attend the grand council with regulators, file a parade of policy ideas, publish scholarly potions, and drag courts into friendly‑court alternative dramas to convince everyone that one chief federal regulator should steer the cryptic market steed.
No less, the CFTC Chairman, the sagely Mike Selig, has on record cannily nodded to that notion. Industry supporters trumpet that the regulatory baton has been twirled for countless years over similar contraptions, a sound foundation for a more sweeping federal baton.
4/4 Focusing exclusively on shaping durable and responsible policy and regulation, our Prediction Markets working group looks forward to working closely with the CFTC, Congress, and market participants. Full statement:
– The Digital Chamber (@DigitalChamber) February 17, 2026

Trial by Fire on the Ground
The clash has already ignited: a major crypto platform in the U.S. was scolded this week by a state folk‑law brigade for offering “unlicensed wagering”-and apparently it was a direct hit to their “masterpieces.”
Kalshi, the luminary defying dull regulation, now faces a civil showdown with a state gaming regulator that alleges their markets are quite “gambling.”
Other platforms, eager to wade into the debate, have opted for the federal courtroom to throw a dodgeball at state bans. Polymarket, in particular, has sued a state, asserting that the sterling of federal oversight should take the lead.
The platforms smile at the logic that their contracts are derivatives, not pastries, while state officials continue to claim they are “bets,” or, as the critics say, “small addictive fun.”

States Stir the Pot
By the time the sun rises over Nevadas Gambling Control Board, it is unmistakably licking its lips, ready for a teacup of strict rules to sink into the market puddles. The board has been quite the hawk, nose‑deep in seeking a battle plan.
A governor elsewhere, with the flair of a dramatic monarch, proclaimed that such markets “harm people” and want to slam them into a fiery recess of “public safety.” Utah’s own Spencer Cox has criticized some lofty federal arguments and raised a cry of caution in every smoky hallway.
Meanwhile, a floor‑wiping platform has queued for the federal courts in a state that refuses to bite on enforcement, as Massachusetts-an equally bold explorer-steps onto the battlefield.

What A Might‑Be to Come
The next act, dear reader, will likely most depend on the twisty boxes of filings and the sudden roars of judicial verdicts rather than mere papery rule‑making. Lawyers in suits are sharpening their swords for federal precedence; state officials are drafting their own potions.
Legal briefs and amicus pleadings will aim to puff the judges’ noses and persuade them that these crypto contracts sometimes disguise themselves as derivatives, other times as harmless bets. If regulators dare to draft a formal rule, the front pews of this debate might reverberate with fresh syllables.
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2026-02-18 16:11