Bitcoin’s Q4 Nightmare: Bear Market 🐍 Dragging On

As the fourth quarter of 2025 draws to a close, Bitcoin’s descent into darkness deepens, casting a long shadow over the hopes of investors who once believed in its promise of salvation. Or perhaps it’s just the market’s way of reminding us that even the brightest stars can fall-and fall hard. 🌌💸

Having soared to a peak of $126,200 in early October, Bitcoin now plummets into the abyss, its value eroded by 30% as the weight of despair presses down on its followers. One might say it’s not just a market correction-it’s a reckoning. 📉

Since that fleeting peak, Bitcoin has faltered in its attempts to reclaim the $92,000 mark, each failed ascent a testament to the waning hope and growing trepidation among those who once revered it. The market, it seems, has grown weary of its own illusions. 🧠

Capitulation Indicators Signal Market Stress To Remain In 2026

The indicators of capitulation, those harbingers of despair, reveal that the market’s anguish will not wane in 2026. They are the cries of the lost, the echoes of a system on the brink. 🐍

The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), a grim barometer of investor despair, hovers below 1 at 0.99, a testament to the losses being sold off with a mix of resignation and desperation. The Short-Term Holder MVRV (MVRV-STH), at 0.87, speaks of those who have sunk so deep into the abyss that even the faintest glimmer of hope is met with a hollow laugh. 😂

The specter of 35.66% of Bitcoin’s supply in loss looms large, a chilling reminder that the majority of holders are now ensnared in the chains of their own miscalculations. Confidence, once a beacon, now flickers like a dying candle in the wind. ⚠️

The Fear & Greed Index, that ever-fickle barometer of human emotion, has plunged into the “extreme fear” zone, where the very air is thick with dread and the desire to flee from the market’s cruel embrace. 🧠

Bear Market Confirmation Indicators

Beyond the metrics of capitulation, GugaOnChain unveils further signs that the market’s descent is far from over. These indicators, like the crows on a desolate plain, signal that the worst is yet to come. 🐦

The Market Cap Growth Rate, a cruel arithmetic of decline, stands at -11.65%, a stark reminder that the market’s growth is not expanding but contracting, like a star collapsing into itself. 🌌

Institutional investors, those once mighty titans of the market, have turned their backs, their outflows of $825.7 million a testament to their dwindling faith. The Q4 price struggles, it seems, have become a pilgrimage of despair for even the most seasoned players. 🙃

The Coinbase Premium Gap, a mirror of the market’s disarray, remains stubbornly negative at -66.11, a stark contrast to the more vibrant tides of offshore markets. Here, the US investors’ demand is but a whisper in the storm. 🌬️

With these metrics in hand, GugaOnChain’s conclusion is as inevitable as the setting of the sun: the crypto market will linger in its bearish slumber for the next two to three months. Investors, prepare for further corrections in the first quarter of 2026, for the capitulation signals will not ease until the market’s soul is cleansed of its excesses. 🧹

At the time of writing, Bitcoin hovers at $87,436, a mere shadow of its former self, its value having slipped by 0.42% in the last day-a small step in the long march of despair. 📉

2025-12-27 14:50

Capitulation Indicators Signal Market Stress To Remain In 2026

Bear Market Confirmation Indicators

Read More