Bitcoin’s Next Peak: Why Fall 2025 Is Going to Be Epic!

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  • Bitcoin‘s so-called “smart money” is acting like a vacuum cleaner, sucking up retail sell pressure. How quaint!
  • We’ve been told the peak of the current BTC cycle might just pop up in Fall 2025. So, mark your calendars, folks.

Ah, the tragic tale of the Bitcoin whale, a story that could have been scripted by Shakespeare himself. The poor creature made a mess of things with a long position, then turned its attention to a short – only to dig itself deeper into a financial pit. A true tale of woe.

“Just like us, fr” – a comment on X (formerly Twitter), and who are we to argue? It’s almost too relatable, isn’t it?

But don’t get too comfy with the chuckles. This whole circus coincided with a flurry of activity in the derivatives market. BTC bulls, bless their hearts, were charging ahead, desperately trying to hit new heights. But alas, the profit-taking was too strong, and they were sent back down faster than a cat chasing a laser pointer.

The Bright Side for Long-Term Holders (Yes, There Is One!)

Now, let’s talk about those who have managed to avoid the panic: the long-term holders. Crypto analyst Axel Adler, ever the optimist, has some good news. According to him, large players are cashing in on partial profits, but don’t get too excited – this doesn’t signal the peak of the cycle. No, no. We’re still riding the wave.

Using the magical Market to Realized Price Ratio (MRPR) and the mystical Value Days Destroyed (VDD) metrics, we’re able to pinpoint those local peaks from 2014, 2017-18, and 2021. And wouldn’t you know it, the indicator is giving us a nice little late bull stage. Keep your hats on, people.

Now, while the MRPR and VDD metrics are certainly flexing their muscles, they’re not yet in the danger zone. Big-time holders can still grab some profits, but don’t get too carried away – the medium-term outlook is still bullish. Yes, hold onto those wallets.

When those small-fractals start crossing over the medium-fractals, things are about to get hot! Well, in theory. According to the Bitcoin halving cycle model (which sounds like something out of a secret wizard’s handbook), the cycle’s peak might just show up in Fall 2025. Get your popcorn ready.

Onchain Edge, the ever-watchful eagle-eyed crypto analyst, has spotted a couple of tell-tale signs. First up, the steadily negative exchange netflow. Translation: people are accumulating BTC, not selling. Good sign.

The second sign? A steadily dropping Taker Buy Sell Ratio. This means more aggressive sellers are entering the market, likely as a result of all that sweet, sweet profit-taking near the all-time highs.

But fear not! Bitcoin is destined to rise again in the coming weeks. Retail investors are hoarding and taking profits, while exchanges are seeing a dearth of large inflows, indicating that panic-selling is not on the horizon. At least, not yet.

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2025-05-27 10:03