Bitcoin’s 2026 Bull Trap: A Harrowing Tale of Greed and Grief 🚀💰

The silver coin of Bitcoin, now nearing its annual reckoning, whispers of a storm in the market’s heart, where the old ways of hedging may yet turn the tides.

Bitcoin markets are entering a tense, quiet place where the traders move like shadows, their eyes fixed on the past, hoping for a sign. The holiday winds have blown the liquidity away, leaving prices to dance between $85,000 and $90,000, like a moth caught in a spider’s web. 🕷️

The Record of Bitcoin’s Options: A Tense Chapter in the Market’s Tale

On December 26, 2025, Bitcoin will face its largest annual options settlement, a $23.6 billion tempest. Trading has stayed narrow, like a farmer’s hand on a restless stallion. Prices hover, wary of the coming storm. 🌪️

Bull Run 2026 Schedule:

December: Accumulation. January: Bitcoin Rally. February: Altcoin Season. March: Final Bull Trap. April: Capitulation. May: Bear Market.

Bookmark this tweet and check later 🔖

– Lofty (@0xLofty)

The data spoke of a tight grip, a gamma hedging that held the price in check, like a farmer’s hand on a restless stallion. Similar conditions appeared before, and volatility stayed compressed, a cage for the wild beasts of the market. 🐺

In December 2023, prices broke higher after consolidation, and volume increased within days. March and September 2024 settlements also saw volatility expansion, while June showed mixed results. These patterns, like the seasons, are predictable, yet the winds of the macro world can twist them into something unrecognizable. 🌬️

Seasonal Price Trends and Uptober Performance in 2025

October, the month of promise, where Bitcoin once danced with the sun, now walks in shadow. In 2025, October proved a fickle lover, breaking the old song and sending prices tumbling. Higher Treasury yields, like a cold wind, stifled risk appetite. 🌫️

Despite the October decline, Bitcoin stayed positive for most of the year before that period. Gains through September exceeded major equity indexes, supported by rate cuts and ETF inflows. The April halving reduced new supply, and institutional adoption expanded steadily. These factors, like a sturdy barn, supported prices, though profit-taking grew like weeds. 🌾

Related Readings: BTC News Today: Bitcoin Short Squeeze Likely Amid Hopes of Bullish US CPI Report

Bull Run Timelines and Post Settlement Expectations

Some market participants, like old prophets, share structured timelines for a possible 2026 bull run. The schedule points to accumulation in December, followed by a Bitcoin rally in January. February is marked for altcoin activity, while March signals a bull trap phase. Later months suggest capitulation and a broader bear phase by May. A prophecy for the desperate, perhaps? 🧠

Analysts, like old farmers, watch the sky for signs, expecting a storm after the December expiry. With thin liquidity, price moves could accelerate, and resistance near $90,000 is closely watched. The market, like a restless horse, waits for the whip of macro policy and investor flows. 🐴

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2025-12-26 22:45