Bitcoin’s 2025 Déjà Vu: 98% Bear Hug or Just a Bad Dream? 🌚💸

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Well, strap in, folks, because Bitcoin (BTC) is doing its best impression of a broken record, spinning the same old tune from 2022-and let me tell you, it’s not exactly Thriller. More like Thriller after too many late-night cheese sandwiches. 🧀😱

Key points (because who doesn’t love a good list?):

  • Bitcoin is shadowing its 2022 bear market with the precision of a GPS on a road trip to nowhere. And yes, the end of the year is just around the corner-hooray? 🎉🤦‍♂️

  • November? Oh, it’s been about as cheerful as a tax audit. One of the worst months on record for BTC price action. 🍂💔

  • Stocks are suddenly the cool kids again, and institutional money is tiptoeing back into crypto ETFs. Baby steps, people, baby steps. 👶💰

BTC Price Analysis: “It’s Not Just You-It’s Bad”

Network economist Timothy Peterson has delivered a grim prognosis that’ll make you wish you’d stuck to collecting stamps. According to him, 2025 is basically 2022 in a cheap Halloween costume. 🎭👻

Bitcoin has let down the bulls like a deflating balloon at a child’s birthday party. Down 36% from its all-time highs-just when everyone thought the party was getting started. Talk about a mood killer. 🎈✨ → 🎈🤡

Now, as December peeks around the corner, BTC/USD is about as bullish as a cat in a bath. Peterson’s data shows it’s mimicking its last bear-market bottom with the enthusiasm of a teenager forced to mow the lawn. 🦁🛁

“2H2025 Bitcoin is the same as 2H2022 Bitcoin,” he tweeted, probably while sipping a cup of ‘I Told You So’ tea. ☕️

The correlation? Oh, it’s striking. Daily correlation is at 80%, and monthly? A whopping 98%. It’s like Bitcoin’s been watching reruns of its own worst moments. 📺🔁

And the chart? Well, if history’s any guide, we might not see a comeback until Q1 next year. So, buckle up, buttercup. 🌪️🚀

Peterson summed it up perfectly: “It feels bad because it is bad.” November’s performance? Bottom 10% since 2015. Yikes. 🥶📉

“This month ranks in the bottom 10% of daily price paths since 2015.”

As CryptoMoon pointed out, a red November usually means December follows suit-though with slightly less drama. Think of it as the sequel: still bad, but not as bad. 🎬🔴

Crypto ETFs: The Light at the End of the Tunnel? Or Just a Train? 🚂💡

Fear not, dear readers, for there’s a glimmer of hope. A macro sentiment shift could still deliver a “Santa rally” across risk assets before the year’s out. Ho ho ho, or more like, hodl hodl hodl. 🎅🚀

Crypto took a beating worse than stocks last month, but signs of a turnaround are popping up like mushrooms after rain. 🍄🌧️

According to The Kobeissi Letter, equity funds have seen $900 billion in new capital since November 2024, with $450 billion in the last five months alone. That’s a lot of zeros. 🤑

Meanwhile, other asset classes? Just $100 billion. Equities are the prom queen of investments right now. 👑💃

“Equity inflows remain remarkably strong.”

And what about those crypto ETFs? Well, Bitcoin ETFs ended Thanksgiving week with $220 million in inflows, while Ether ETFs snagged $312 million. Looks like the institutional sell-off might finally be taking a nap. 😴💤

So, is this the beginning of the end of the bear market, or just another chapter in Bitcoin’s never-ending soap opera? Only time will tell. Grab your popcorn-this show’s far from over. 🍿🎭

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2025-11-30 13:44