Look, here’s the deal: Bitcoin‘s staging a bit of a comeback this week, but it’s still limping along under $90,000, like that friend who insists they’re “fine” but has clearly lost the will to live. Traders are skittishâwho could blame them? The economic landscape looks like a game of Jenga where the last piece is about to slip out.
But wait! Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX and self-proclaimed crypto oracle, drops this bombshell: he thinks Bitcoin will hit $250,000 by the end of 2025. Yeah, you heard me right. Seems a bit optimistic, doesnât it? But thatâs the world we live inâdream big or go home, right?
Will Bitcoin Really Make a Run for $250,000?
In his latest blog postâbecause, of course, he has oneâHayes analyzes a not-so-subtle pivot in U.S. monetary policy. Heâs convinced the Federal Reserve will crack and start quantitative easing again, eventually handing out free money like itâs Halloween candy. Why? Because no one has the guts to say no to political pressure. And guess what? He thinks all that extra cash will send Bitcoinâs price rocketing.
Hayes points to the Fedâs recent changes regarding the supplementary leverage ratio (SLR), which seems geared towards letting banks hoard more Treasury bonds like they’re collecting PokĂ©mon cards. More bonds? More liquidity! The market could be swamped with cash in no timeâtalk about a liquidity party!
He even references Jerome Powellâyes, the guy with that ever-so-serious demeanorâhinting that maybe, just maybe, the Fed might hit pause on asset roll-offs. Thatâs like saying, âYou know that diet I was on? Letâs just order a pizza instead.â If they relax the SLR rules, we’re looking at all kinds of chaosâpotential for lower Treasury yields, and welcome back, liquidity!
Now, letâs talk about inflation. Powell claims any tariff-induced inflation is âtransitory.â Right, like my New Yearâs resolutions. This belief just lets the Fed keep throwing cash around without stressing about the consequences. Who needs to worry about inflation when you can just keep hitting the money printer, right?
Bitcoin: The Rebel Asset?
Hayes rivals the 40-year-old American idea of rebellion. The U.S. Treasury is already slowing down its quantitative tighteningâfrom $25 billion a month to a mere $5 billion. Thatâs like saying, âIâm cutting down on my friesânow Iâll only have a medium size instead of the large!â He’s predicting an annualized liquidity boost of $240 billion, which sounds great until you remember that money doesnât grow on trees, folks.
In Hayes’ mind, this mirrors the 2008 financial crisis when gold was the star of the show. Bitcoin, despite being the new kid on the block, is now the “anti-establishment” asset that somehow stands to rake in all that liquidity. Get ready for Bitcoin to flexâit’s here to steal gold’s thunder!
Hayes is doubling down on his audacious $250,000 Bitcoin prediction. Heâs convinced that, as the Fed goes back to QE, Bitcoin will thrive like a weed in a garden full of daisies. Yes, itâs all very poetic. He believes Bitcoin isnât just some digital currency; itâs the perfect vehicle to ride the wave of liquidity washing over us.
Sure, he admits there are risks, but who doesnât live a little dangerously? Hayes remains unapologetically confident that Bitcoin’s value will eventually skyrocket as the Fed’s monetary juggernaut rolls on. Because why not? This is 2025 we’re talking aboutânot your grandmotherâs investment strategy!
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2025-04-01 19:36