Bitcoin: The Agony and the Ecstasy

Oh, the humanity! Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency of the masses, is facing a critical test of its mettle. After a precipitous fall of 7% from its all-time high of $112,000, the digital coin is now teetering on the edge of a precipice. The cause of this calamity? A resurgence of global uncertainty, sparked by the US and China’s tariff tantrums, which has sent investor confidence into a tailspin and injected a healthy dose of volatility into the financial markets.

And yet, despite the macro headwinds, Bitcoin remains a beacon of hope for those seeking a hedge against systemic risk and political instability. The current consolidation, which has Bitcoin hovering just above $105,000, is a level that many analysts are watching with bated breath. According to the esteemed Big Cheds, BTC is now approaching the 4-hour 200 moving average (MA), a historically significant dynamic support during previous bull cycles. A bounce from this level could confirm the ongoing bullish momentum, while a failure to hold it might expose the market to further downside and trigger a broader risk-off move across crypto.

But fear not, dear reader, for the altcoins are also feeling the pressure. Market participants are closely monitoring BTC’s next move to gauge broader sentiment. If the bulls manage to defend key support and reclaim higher levels, the uptrend could resume. However, the coming days will be crucial, as Bitcoin navigates the treacherous waters of technical structure, macroeconomic stress, and market-wide liquidity shifts.

Bitcoin: A Tale of Two Supports

Bitcoin is now testing a critical demand zone around the $103,000 level, following a sharp rejection from the $112,000 all-time high. After several failed breakout attempts in recent days, momentum has shifted, and BTC is pulling back amid a broader market cooldown. The move has increased short-term uncertainty, but the price still remains within a high-timeframe bullish structure.

Macroeconomic tensions continue to shape the crypto landscape, with rising US Treasury yields pointing to deeper systemic stress. Investors are navigating heightened volatility as global markets react to ongoing US-China trade disputes and mixed economic signals. Despite this, Bitcoin’s pullback may present a healthy consolidation phase rather than a trend reversal, provided bulls defend critical support levels.

Cheds highlights that Bitcoin is fast approaching the 4-hour 200 moving average, currently near $102,500. This is a historically reliable dynamic support level that has marked key reversal points in previous bull phases. A successful defense of this level could signal the end of the retracement and initiate the next leg higher. However, a breakdown below it could open the door for a deeper correction toward the $98K–$100K zone.

As BTC hovers near support, the coming sessions will be decisive. Holding above the 4H MA 200 could reignite bullish sentiment and restore upward momentum, while failure to do so may shift focus toward more defensive trading setups across the crypto market.

BTC: The Daily Struggle is Real

Bitcoin is now trading near $103,300, testing the key support level marked by the previous range high at $103,600. After reaching a new all-time high at $112,000 earlier this week, BTC has pulled back over 7%, triggering a wave of uncertainty across the market. This support zone aligns with the 34-day EMA at $102,548, making it a pivotal area to watch for bulls aiming to regain momentum.

The chart shows BTC holding a strong uptrend structure despite the recent decline. Volume has increased slightly on this drop, suggesting some profit-taking but not yet panic selling. Price is still trading above all major daily moving averages, including the 50-, 100-, and 200-day SMAs, which remain upward-sloping—a signal that long-term trend structure is intact.

A bounce from current levels would confirm $103,600 as a new support floor and open the door for another attempt to reclaim the $109,300 resistance. However, if bears break below this zone, downside risk increases with the next major demand area around $98,000. With macroeconomic stress building and Bitcoin’s previous rally overextended, consolidation at this level may be necessary before the next leg up.

Read More

2025-05-31 14:13

Previous post Drafting Champions: How Fantasy Esports is changing the game
Next post 7 twisty and absurd whodunits to watch now, if you’ve already finished the BBC’s Death Valley