Bitcoin’s price recently fell quickly as the overall cryptocurrency market became more unstable, bringing the price down to around $83,000. Interestingly, while prices are dropping, the number of Bitcoins that are considered permanently lost is steadily decreasing, and this is becoming a notable trend.
Price Declines, And Lost Bitcoins Are Dropping
Bitcoin’s price is currently fluctuating quite a bit, but we’re starting to see some important changes in how the market is behaving and how investors are acting. Several indicators are now suggesting caution, including the number of Bitcoins that have been lost – a metric that’s starting to raise concerns.
Joao Wedson, founder of the data platform Alphractal, recently shared research indicating that the amount of Bitcoin lost forever is decreasing. He believes this isn’t random, and suggests it signals a potentially important change in how the Bitcoin network behaves over time.
This change means more previously lost or inaccessible coins are now considered usable, reducing the estimated amount of Bitcoin that will never be recovered. This effectively increases the available supply of BTC, which could affect how its long-term price is predicted based on scarcity.
Wedson pointed out that many analysts blamed the recent price drop entirely on Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), but the situation is more complex than that. While ETFs played a role in setting the stage, the main reason for the decline was Bitcoin finally reaching – and then falling below – the $100,000 level. Once Bitcoin enters that price range, it fundamentally changes the economic factors at play.

Bitcoin that has been stored for years in exchange wallets is now being moved, likely due to changes in how it’s managed, updates to wallet addresses, and combining smaller transactions. Also, early Bitcoin investors and long-term holders are starting to sell their holdings. This kind of activity is typical when wealth is being redistributed, and doesn’t necessarily indicate a market crash.
These changes are happening as more people and businesses are successfully finding and regaining access to Bitcoin they previously thought was lost – in old computer files, forgotten storage devices, inaccessible wallets, or through legal and inheritance processes. Essentially, Bitcoin that was once considered unrecoverable is now being brought back into circulation.
Wedson’s analysis suggests the recent price movement isn’t due to new Bitcoin being created, either from BTC ETFs or reaching the $100,000 mark. Instead, these events simply brought previously existing, long-held Bitcoin back into circulation. However, the amount of this ‘lost’ or dormant Bitcoin is decreasing as its value continues to rise, making it more attractive to spend.
What Are BTC Investors Doing In The Market
Even though the market remains unpredictable, industry analyst CW has observed that major Bitcoin investors are consistently buying Bitcoin without taking on a lot of risk. Instead of making highly speculative bets, they’re building more conservative, long-term positions, which indicates growing confidence in Bitcoin’s future.
However, most retail investors who had made highly leveraged bets have now had those positions closed out, resulting in losses. Notably, many of these investors lost their money before the recent price increase even began.

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2026-01-30 22:02