The price of XRP is currently staying slightly above $1.13 after a small dip. Despite some indications that large investors are becoming less active, the price chart still suggests a generally positive trend.
Although the value of XRP has decreased since July 21st, the decline appears gradual and controlled, not sudden or chaotic. However, this calmness may be misleading, as there’s growing conflict between what the price charts suggest and the actual amount of money being invested in XRP.
XRP Builds a Bullish Cup and Handle as Selling Fades
As a researcher tracking XRP, I’ve observed a classic cup and handle pattern forming in its price chart since early July. This pattern typically signals a potential breakout after a period of rounded recovery followed by a slight dip. Right now, we’re in what looks like the ‘handle’ portion of that pattern, a consolidation phase that began on July 21st.
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Interestingly, trading volume has decreased as the price has dipped recently. The lower number of sales indicates this price drop might just be a temporary pause, not a major sell-off, which still supports the possibility of XRP breaking out to higher prices.
Still, a clean chart means little if the buyers behind it start to walk away.
XRP ETF Inflows Look Green, but the Trend Is Quietly Fading
Despite looking positive, the data on XRP ETF investments hides a potential issue that’s easy to overlook. While the ETFs continue to see monthly inflows of new money since their launch – appearing to show consistent growth – a closer look reveals a more nuanced situation.
When I examined the monthly investment flows, I noticed an interesting trend. While overall numbers looked steady, the pace actually fluctuated quite a bit. We saw inflows increase from $81.59 million in April to a high of $131.94 million in May, but then they dropped significantly – more than 50% – down to $59.46 million in June.
This July has seen only $12.43 million invested in these funds, making it the slowest month ever. While investment remains positive, the consistent decrease hints that large investors might be pulling back, potentially indicating lessening interest in XRP ETFs.
While money coming into the market is important, it doesn’t tell the whole story about demand. What blockchain users themselves are doing also suggests a similar, subtle change is happening.
Hodler Net Position Change Echoes a Familiar Warning
The Hodler Net Position Change, which measures whether long-term cryptocurrency holders are buying or selling, is showing a pattern we’ve seen before. It reached a particularly high level on June 22nd.
Looking at the data, I observed a consistent decline in this metric leading up to July 1st, and the price of XRP mirrored that trend. Specifically, the price dropped from $1.13 to $1.05 over that period.
As people started buying XRP again, the price went up, and the two have been closely linked ever since.
Starting July 19th, the number has decreased again, dropping from around 231 million to about 226 million XRP. If this trend continues, the price might also decline.
That leaves the chart to settle the argument.
XRP Price Levels to Watch Now
Since the recent price trend is still developing, important support and resistance levels can be found based on price movements between July 1st and July 13th. The first key level to watch is $1.15, which corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level – a significant technical area often seen as a potential stopping point during a price correction.
If the price of XRP clearly rises above $1.15, it could signal a strong upward trend and potentially reach $1.16. If it breaks through that level, we might see prices climb to $1.18 and then $1.21. However, XRP has failed to sustain similar patterns in the past, so a solid daily closing price above $1.15 is crucial – a brief spike isn’t enough.
If the price falls below $1.13, it could quickly drop to $1.12 and then potentially as low as $1.09. A break below $1.05 would completely invalidate the current expected upward trend. Currently, the $1.15 level is key – a move above this suggests a rise towards $1.21, while falling below it points to a decline back to $1.09.
2026-07-23 10:52