So, Aster DEX, right? Itās had a bit of a wobble, down 5% even though everyone on CoinMarketCap – and thatās a LOT of people, 60,000-plus, for goodness sake! – thinks itās brilliant. Bullish at 75%, they say. Honestly, youād think someone would have noticed the drop. š¤·
Itās currently clinging onto the $1 mark, which is good, I suppose. Like a climber desperately holding a ledge. But mostly, itās justā¦sideways. Thrilling. The kind of action that keeps crypto analysts in business, mostly.
Apparently, the initial hype has evaporated, which in the world of crypto is roughly equivalent to a dandelion clock in a hurricane. It aligns with the wider market, which is, shall we say, not exactly setting the world on fire at the moment.
And yet⦠and yet! There’s a historical pattern thing happening, despite, as they say, “fundamentally challenging factors.” Which is a wonderfully vague phrase, isnāt it? It suggests something complex is going on, even if no one actually knows what.
Is ASTERās 30% rally coming in December?
The last few days have been a bit of a muddle – kinda like my sock drawer. The price swung around after those briefly exciting times when it reached $1.40. Itās a sign, apparently, of āaccumulation.ā Which means people areā¦buying it? Seems obvious, but these things rarely are in this world.
And the On Balance Volume (OBV) is doing a similar dance to what it did in November. History repeating itself! Or, possibly, just random noise. It’s a coin flip, really. And ASTER is apparently eyeing $1.50. Bold move.
But it needs to break through this ādescending trendlineā – sounds ominous, doesnāt it? – in the same way it eventually escaped the earlier sideways drift. Pretty much like escaping a very slow, tedious meeting.

There’s a tiny hint of optimism in the MACD, which is faintly green, like a slightly unripe avocado. The signal lines are still doing their own thing, and the bars are small, meaning buyers are tiptoeing in and havenāt quite taken charge. Yet.
So, a 30%+ gain is possible, theoretically. However, activity on the chain is dwindling, and thereās a potential flood of tokens coming onto the market. That’s right, a token unlock is looming like a slightly unwelcome houseguest. Could put a damper on things, to say the least. š¬
Weak activity but better than Hyperliquid
Trading volume is up 10%, apparently. ASTER is outperforming Hyperliquid, which is a name that sounds like a futuristic energy drink. ASTER is shifting $5.467 billion, while HYPE is at $4.605 billion. A win! Albeit a rather technical, spreadsheet-driven one.

Astonishingly, it’s doing better even though it launched after Hyperliquid. A classic underdog story. Except it involves digital money and complicated charts. But still!
However, other metrics arenāt so cheerful. The DEX and perp volumes are dropping, and fees are plummeting. Apparently, theyāre down to $1.18 million. Which, in the grand scheme of things, isā¦well, itās something. TVL (Total Value Locked) has also taken a hit, tumbling by almost half. All very depressing.

This is allā¦less than ideal. But remember, markets shift. Stuff happens. It could all turn around tomorrow. Or not. Who knows? š¤·āāļø
Upcoming sell pressure
December is shaping up to be a bit of a token-unlocking frenzy. ASTER and Sui Network are leading the charge, with over $86 million worth of tokens becoming available. Thatās a whole lot of fresh supply, all potentially looking to be sold. Yikes!
Specifically, 3.89% of ASTERās market cap – a hefty 78.41 million tokens – will be unleashed. Although, reassuringly, over 55% remains locked up, with some still awaiting an unlock date. So, not everything is going to be dumped at onceā¦presumably.

This influx could put the brakes on any potential rally, becauseā¦supply and demand. Basic economics. Ugh.
Final Thoughts
- The technical charts suggest a possible 30% price increase for ASTER. Fingers crossed!
- But the underlying activity and the looming token unlock are making things look…challenging.
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2025-11-30 11:10