Key Takeaways
Bitcoin just strutted into the billion-dollar club with a $1T realized cap-like a teenager finally fitting into dad’s jeans. But its 90-day return? About as exciting as watching paint dry. With Spent Volume cooling off like a lazy Sunday and phase #4 flashing late-bull signals, Bitcoin’s next move is more mood swings than a soap opera. Stay tuned, or don’t. Whatever.
Bitcoin’s realized cap hit a jaw-dropping $1 trillion-seriously, who even thought it was possible? It’s like Bitcoin’s finally grown up and gotten a big-boy job.
In a report that’s basically pointing at a rocket launch, AMBCrypto hints that a move to $120k could cause a $2 billion slapdown in short liquidations. Basically, a breakout could happen faster than you can say “HODL.”
Range-bound between $112k and $120k-like a stubborn cat refusing to move

Over the last three months, Bitcoin’s price has been playing a game of “keep away,” swinging from $102k to $110k, then jumping to $123k mid-July-like a kid on a sugar rush. Now, it’s back to chilling between $112k and $120k, probably trying to decide whether to party or take a nap.
The 90-day return? A mere 5%, which is about as gripping as watching grass grow. It says, “We’re just chilling,” not “Game on!”
Meanwhile, the Short-Term Holder Realized Price sits at $116k-so, guess what? More sideways movement. A dip to $100k might be on the table, but hey, Recovery signs are waving hello.
Bitcoin’s feeling neutral but kinda bullish… like a confused puppy

The 7-day moving average of Bitcoin’s spent volume? Around 545k coins daily-basically, a lazy Sunday. According to crypto analyst Axel Adler, this is lower than the wild days when millions of coins were getting flung around like a drunk party guest, hitting 900k-1M coins.
Less frenzy, more “meh,” which actually signals a neutral-bullish vibe. Basically, fewer profit-takers might mean Bitcoin’s getting comfy enough to go higher. Sustained spending below 500k BTC/day could push it upward-keep an eye on that.
Index Market Phase? It’s stage 4, baby

The Bitcoin Index Market Phase shows we’re knocking on the door of stage 4, just shy of that 0.6 threshold. It’s like the market’s got one foot on the gas pedal but isn’t floored yet. Realized profits are jacked up, but we’re not in the “party till dawn” euphoria zone.
Plenty of room to grow, but don’t get too comfy-August and September are known for being wild card months. Expect some dips to $100k, like pulling the parachute just to make the descent more dramatic.
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2025-08-25 16:11