🚨 Crypto’s Four-Year Waltz: Dead or Just Dramatically Paused? 🎭

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Ah, the crypto markets-those tempestuous darlings of the digital realm! Historically, they have danced to the tune of a four-year bull and bear cycle, a waltz as predictable as a Wildean wit at a society ball. Yet, my dear reader, it appears this grand ballet may be losing its rhythm, or so the so-called experts would have us believe. 🕺💸

“Top 100 Bitcoin treasury companies hold almost 1 MILLION Bitcoin,” proclaimed the ever-eloquent Jason Williams, author and investor, in a post on X that Sunday. A statement as bold as a peacock’s plumage, yet one must wonder: is it the death knell of the cycle, or merely a dramatic pause for effect? 🎩✨

“This is why the Bitcoin 4-year cycle is over.”

Matthew Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise Asset Management, chimed in with a similar air of finality in an article published by CNBC on Friday. “It’s not officially over until we see positive returns in 2026,” he declared, with all the gravitas of a man who has just discovered the last macaron at tea. “But I think we will, so let’s say this: I think the 4-year cycle is over.” 🍵💎

For the past three market cycles, Bitcoin’s price peak has arrived with the punctuality of a Victorian train schedule, in the year following the halving-2013, 2017, 2021. And now, the next act is due in 2025. But is this grand tradition unraveling like a poorly knit scarf? 🧣⏳

Game over for the four-year crypto cycle? 🎮✖️

Pierre Rochard, CEO of The Bitcoin Bond Company, joined the chorus on Monday, declaring on X, “It seems more likely than not that the 4-year cycles are over.” A statement as definitive as a Wildean aphorism, yet one must ask: is this the end, or merely a new beginning? 🌟🤔

He added, with a touch of whimsy, that Bitcoin halvings are “immaterial to trading float,” as 95% of BTC has been mined. The supply, it seems, comes from “buying out OGs,” while demand springs from “the sum of spot retail, ETPs getting added to wealth platforms, and treasury companies.” A complex dance, indeed, but is it enough to kill the cycle? 💃🤹‍♂️

Martin Burgherr, Chief Clients Officer at Sygnum Bank, offered a more nuanced view, telling CryptoMoon, “The four‑year halving cycle remains a useful reference point, but it’s no longer the sole driver of market behavior.” Ah, the maturity of the market! Macroeconomic conditions, institutional capital flows, regulatory developments, and ETF adoption-all now share the stage. 🎭📈

“In practice, the four‑year framework is becoming one of several inputs rather than the market’s central script.”

But fear not, for there are those who cling to tradition! Crypto analyst ‘CRYPTO₿IRB’ took to X to declare to his 715,000 followers that saying the four-year cycle is gone is “wrong.” ETFs, he argues, have only strengthened the cycle, as traditional finance runs on four-year presidential cycles. And let us not forget the halving events, “mathematically programmed” and impossible to cancel. 📆🔢

Seamus Rocca, CEO of Xapo Bank, offered a more cautious note in July, telling CryptoMoon that the risk of a prolonged bear market is still very real. “So many people are saying, ‘Oh, the institutions are here, and, therefore, the cyclical sort of nature of Bitcoin is dead.’ I’m not sure I agree with that,” he said, with the skepticism of a man who has seen too many trends come and go. 🐻⚰️

And so, my dear reader, we are left with a question as tantalizing as a Wildean paradox: is the four-year crypto cycle truly dead, or is it merely resting, biding its time for a dramatic return? Only time, that most merciless of critics, will tell. ⌛🎭

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2025-08-11 09:19