It is a truth universally acknowledged, that a cryptocurrency in possession of a good fortune, must be in want of a correction. Bitcoin, that most illustrious of digital assets, has recently broken above its previous all-time high of $111K, setting off a bullish rally that would make a Jeevesian butler raise an eyebrow. 🤚
However, as our dear BTC approaches the dizzying heights of $120K, the specter of profit-taking and distribution pressure looms large, like a particularly indigestible Christmas pudding, increasing the likelihood of a short-term corrective pullback. 🍮
Technical Analysis
By ShayanMarkets
The Daily Chart
After a prolonged period of consolidation, during which Bitcoin seemed to be taking a leisurely stroll through the financial park, it has decisively broken above its previous all-time high of $111K. This breakout was accompanied by a notable surge in buying activity, much like a sudden rush to the bar at the start of a cocktail party, triggering a short-squeeze that accelerated the bullish momentum. 🚀
While this move signals strong market confidence, the $120K region is a probable zone for profit-taking and distribution, which could temporarily slow down the rally. A short-term corrective phase is therefore expected, likely pulling the price back toward the $111K region to retest the breakout level. Based on the Fibonacci retracement tool, key resistance levels ahead are located at $120K and $131K.
The 4-Hour Chart
On the lower timeframe, Bitcoin printed a powerful bullish candle, decisively breaking above both the descending wedge pattern and the previous all-time high at $111K. Following a minor pullback to retest the breakout zone, the price resumed its upward surge, reaching the $120K mark. Such impulsive rallies are often followed by short-term corrections, as traders begin to realize profits. A healthy retracement would likely target the 0.5 ($113K) to 0.618 ($111K) Fibonacci levels, a key zone where the market may stabilize and build momentum for the next leg up.
On-chain Analysis
By ShayanMarkets
As Bitcoin trades at all-time highs near $120K, an intriguing insight emerges from the Short-Term Holder SOPR metric. This indicator, which measures realized profits from investors who’ve held BTC for less than 155 days, remains notably muted, especially when compared to November 2024, when Bitcoin first reached $111K. Despite the recent surge, short-term holders aren’t cashing out aggressively, indicating that profit-taking is still relatively limited. Historically, the end of a bullish cycle is often accompanied by elevated SOPR values due to massive profit realization. But for now, the data suggests the market isn’t overheated, and the current rally could still have room to grow if new demand enters.
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2025-07-12 17:23