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Will Nukes Nuke Crypto? AI’s Take on Bitcoin’s Doomsday

BBG News
  • Imagine BTC’s price taking a nosedive of 10%-80% if a nuclear war goes from local to regional or continent-wide. 😱
  • The Bitcoin network might be reduced to a mere 1000 active nodes, which is like trying to run a marathon with a sprained ankle. 🚑

Bitcoin [BTC] has a following so devout, it rivals the enthusiasm of a Trekkie at a Star Trek convention. These folks swear by BTC as a hedge against inflation and political instability, like the current Israel-Iran war. But, what if the world decides to go full Mad Max? 🏍️💥

Many wealthy individuals, like Mexico’s richest man, Ricardo Salinas, and leaders like U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, have embraced BTC and crypto as a hedge. It’s like they’re all in a race to see who can be the first to build a digital Fort Knox. 🏦💰

BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, pitches BTC as a hedge equivalent or better than gold. But, according to AI, the digital gold might not shine so bright in a nuclear apocalypse. 🤔

Bitcoin network vs. nuclear war

First things first, let’s break down the Bitcoin network. It’s a bit like a giant game of telephone, where miners secure the network and nodes run the protocol to ensure transactions are reliable. 📞💻

As of mid-2025, the network boasts 22,129 reachable nodes (including mining nodes) spread across the globe. That’s more nodes than there are Starbucks in the U.S. ☕

According to public and official data, the U.S. controls 10.2% of BTC nodes, followed by Germany (5.8%) and France (2.6%). All the top three are nuclear powers, while China, per official data, owns a measly 0.15%. However, nearly 64% of nodes remain unaccounted for or unknown. 🕵️‍♂️

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Unravelling scenarios

In a major conflict that wipes out 60-80% of the internet, Bitcoin active nodes could plummet from 22K to 1K, leading to transaction failures and the collapse of the proof of work (PoW) consensus. It’s like the network is playing a game of musical chairs, but the music has stopped. 🎶🪑

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Small scale war

For a confined conflict, BTC could be viewed as a hedge, like the current Israel-Iran war. It has stayed above $100K despite the war rhetoric from leaders, including the U.S. President Donald Trump. It’s like BTC is the calm in the eye of the storm. 🌪️💰

In fact, Bitwise’s Head of Alpha Strategies reinforced this stance and recently stated, 

“This moment (geopolitical tensions) is why Bitcoin exists.”

Meanwhile, other analysts, like QCP Capital, warned that a wider regional war could affect oil supply and global inflation, putting BTC at risk. It’s like BTC is caught in a game of global Jenga. 🏗️🔥

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For a localized attack, the network would remain steady, and the price could dip about 10%-30%. It’s like a minor speed bump in a bull market. Per current prices, that would imply a drop to $98K-$75K. 📉

For a regional nuclear war, BTC price would crash 30%-60%, implying a potential dip to $75K-$42K as most nodes go offline. It’s like the market is having a major wardrobe malfunction. 🤦‍♂️

In continent-wide destruction (2-3 powers annihilated), ChatGPT projected a 60-80% decline. That would be a free fall to $42K-20K. It’s like the market is taking a nosedive off a cliff. 🏔️📉

This could be a great discount for survivors if Bitcoin survives and rallies above $100K. However, only 1000 nodes could be online, risking a protocol split or fork. It’s like the network is playing a game of Russian roulette. 🎲🔫

But, as a survivor with no internet access, you’ll likely care about food and shelter if the entire world is nuked. In short, BTC would cease to exist as a market asset and probably tank to zero. It’s like the market is going to zero faster than a New Year’s Eve countdown. 🎉💥

Overall, BTC could become worthless if nukes destroy the internet and nodes. But ChatGPT highlighted that it could survive only if there is a backup in satellites with enough running nodes to keep it decentralized and secure before full re-connection later on. It’s like the network is playing a game of cosmic hide-and-seek. 🌌🔍

That said, as of June 2025, there was only an 18% chance of a nuclear bomb going off in 2025. So, it could be too early to put your nuclear war worries on BTC. It’s like worrying about a meteor strike when you haven’t even finished your grocery shopping. 🛒Meteor?

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2025-06-20 08:15

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