Ah, the price reversal! A phenomenon as predictable as a cat’s disdain for water. Multiple indicators, like a chorus of disgruntled villagers, have confirmed this shift, while rising open interest has danced a merry jig, only to be followed by a sharp decline. Traders, those brave souls, are now peering into the abyss, wondering how HBAR will respond to the looming resistance. Will it plunge into the depths of despair, or will it merely test the waters of lower support zones? Only time will tell, and perhaps a crystal ball or two.
Bearish Breakdown on Lower Timeframes Suggests Trend Reversal
According to the wise sages at BullFrog Crypto, the 30-minute HBAR/USDT chart is whispering sweet nothings of a short bias, with a suggested entry point around $0.19552. The chart, a tapestry of despair, shows a breakdown from a previously established consolidation range, now acting as a formidable resistance. How poetic!
This shift in market structure is akin to watching a tragic play unfold, with lower highs and lower lows emerging like characters in a Greek tragedy. The annotated trendline, cheekily labeled “SHORT FOLLOW THE LINE,” points toward a continuation to the downside, as if it were a signpost in a dark forest.

Our analysis highlights a key supply zone, marked by a grey rectangle, where price once consolidated before its dramatic decline. This area is now viewed as a potential rejection zone, should the price dare to retrace upward. Short positions around this supply zone would target possible supports near $0.185–$0.180, aligning with prior reaction levels. A veritable treasure map for the brave!
The short trade setup is tailored for those short-term traders, particularly those wielding leverage like a sword in battle, where the trade may play out over several hours. The risk is clearly defined, with a tight invalidation point just above the resistance zone, allowing for controlled exposure. A true masterclass in risk management!
Open Interest and Price Correlation Reflect Long Squeeze Dynamics
Further supporting our bearish scenario is the recent open interest data from the 1-hour HBAR/USDT chart. The price experienced a notable upswing from May 19 to May 23, rising from a local low into a peak near $0.20866. However, this move was met with significant resistance, leading to a steep price drop that could make even the most stoic trader weep.
During this same period, open interest rose sharply to approximately $5.8 million, indicating increased leveraged exposure and bullish positioning. But alas, the sudden drop in open interest following the price peak—falling to below $4.1 million by May 25—suggests widespread liquidation or the closing of long positions. A classic case of “long squeeze,” where traders holding leveraged long positions are forced to exit as the price reverses against them. How tragic!

The steep decline in both price and open interest underscores the weakness in bullish conviction, highlighting the caution currently observed among market participants. The lack of recovery in open interest suggests muted participation, which may contribute to continued volatility if no new buying support emerges. A true conundrum!
Short-Term Pressure Aligns with Broader Bearish Indicators
On the broader timeframe, the 24-hour chart from Brave New Coin confirms short-term bearish momentum. HBAR is currently priced at $0.188433, reflecting a -1.75% drop in the last 24 hours. Intraday action included a brief rise near $0.191, followed by steady declines to lows around $0.186, with a slight recovery late in the session. A rollercoaster of emotions!

Trading volume reached $109.72 million, indicating moderate activity but not enough to suggest an imminent reversal. This pattern reflects profit-taking and general market caution, with the selling pressure outweighing demand. A tale as old as time!
Additionally, the weekly chart on TradingView reinforces this narrative. Price closed at $0.18822, down 4.43% for the week, with momentum indicators showing weakness. The MACD histogram remains negative at -0.00591, and the MACD line continues to trend below the signal line, confirming ongoing bearish momentum. A symphony of despair!

Meanwhile, the RSI sits at 50.03, reflecting a neutral stance but trending lower. Without a decisive move above the $0.20–$0.21 resistance zone, the price may continue its slow descent or remain range-bound under key resistance levels. A fate worse than death!
In summary, Hedera is facing short-term technical weakness with reduced open interest and bearish indicators confirming downside risk. A confirmed break below recent support could open the door for further retracement unless new buyers enter the market with volume-backed strength. The stage is set, the players are ready, and the audience awaits the next act!
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2025-05-26 18:46