Well, well, well, it seems the Federal Reserve might just pull a rabbit out of its hat. 🎩✨ The odds of an emergency interest rate cut have skyrocketed faster than a caffeinated squirrel on Polymarket and Kalshi, all thanks to Donald Trump’s trade war shenanigans. 🐿️💥
A Polymarket poll, with over $360,000 in assets, shows these odds have surged to 31%, up from a measly 15% on April 1. Meanwhile, Kalshi’s prediction market is even more dramatic, placing the odds at a whopping 41%, the highest since last November. 📈💰
Why the sudden panic, you ask? Well, multiple analysts have downgraded their economic outlook for the U.S. as the trade war expands like a balloon at a clown convention. 🎈🤡 Notably, the U.S. recently slapped a 104% tariff on all Chinese goods, a move so bold it could make both economies cry. China exports roughly $432 billion worth of goods to the U.S. annually, out of a total trade volume of $582 billion between the two nations. 🚢💔
We are green lit for Fed intervention.
— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) April 9, 2025
But wait, there’s more! The U.S. has also imposed broad-based tariffs on several key trade partners, including the European Union, Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam. 🌍💣
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Bitcoin (BTC), Cardano (ADA), and Ripple (XRP) have entered a bear market this year, mirroring the broader downturn in equities. The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices have all fallen over 20% from their 2024 highs, officially entering bear territory. 🐻📉
History shows that risky assets like stocks and crypto do well whenever the Federal Reserve implements an emergency interest rate cut. A good example happened in March 2020 when the fear and greed index dropped to the extreme fear zone as the pandemic started. 😱📉
A series of interest rate cuts, quantitative easing, and fiscal stimulus helped to boost crypto and stock prices. Bitcoin soared from below $4,000 in March 2020 to over $69,000 a year later. Similarly, XRP price jumped from $0.12 to almost $2, while Cardano’s meteoric rise pushed it to $3 and its market cap to $91 billion. 🚀💎
Donald Trump has already started talking about fiscal stimulus. According to the Wall Street Journal, the administration is considering a bailout for farmers and a tax credit to help exporters navigate the new normal. 🚜💵
Therefore, a combination of easy money policies by the Fed and more fiscal stimulus would help push Bitcoin, Cardano, and XRP prices higher. 🚀🌕
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2025-04-09 16:37