Predictive Power: Unlocking Robotic Planning with World Models

Author: Denis Avetisyan


New research pinpoints the critical design elements that enable Joint-Embedding Predictive World Models to excel at complex robotic tasks.

The system learns a world model through joint embedding of video and proprioceptive data, enabling it to predict future states based on action sequences; this predictive capability is then leveraged in a planning process where iteratively refined action sampling minimizes a computed trajectory cost <span class="katex-eq" data-katex-display="false">L^{p}</span>.
The system learns a world model through joint embedding of video and proprioceptive data, enabling it to predict future states based on action sequences; this predictive capability is then leveraged in a planning process where iteratively refined action sampling minimizes a computed trajectory cost L^{p}.

This review identifies key factors-including proprioceptive input, loss functions, and visual encoders-driving performance gains in JEPA-WMs for trajectory optimization and reinforcement learning.

Achieving generalizable intelligence in robotics remains a significant challenge despite advances in agent learning. This work, ‘What Drives Success in Physical Planning with Joint-Embedding Predictive World Models?’, investigates the critical design choices within a recent paradigm of learning world models and planning in their abstract representation spaces. Through comprehensive experimentation with both simulated and real-world robotic data, we identify key components – including proprioceptive input, multi-step rollout losses, and visual encoder selection – that demonstrably improve planning success and outperform established baselines. But what further architectural and training innovations can unlock even greater potential in these powerful predictive frameworks for embodied AI?


Predictive Worlds: The Power of Internal Simulation

Conventional reinforcement learning methods frequently stumble when applied to complex, real-world scenarios due to an insatiable need for data. These algorithms typically learn through extensive trial-and-error – a process that can be prohibitively expensive, time-consuming, or even dangerous in practical applications. Imagine a robot learning to walk; a purely trial-and-error approach would involve countless falls and potential damage before mastering the task. This data inefficiency stems from the algorithms’ reliance on directly experiencing the consequences of every action, without leveraging prior knowledge or predictive capabilities. Consequently, many promising reinforcement learning concepts remain confined to simulated environments, awaiting breakthroughs in data efficiency to bridge the gap to real-world deployment.

Rather than repeatedly interacting with an environment to discover optimal strategies, Model-Based Reinforcement Learning cultivates an internal representation – a learned ‘model’ – that anticipates the consequences of actions. This predictive capability dramatically reduces the need for trial-and-error, allowing an agent to plan efficient sequences of behavior within its simulated world before executing them in reality. By effectively ‘imagining’ future scenarios, the agent can evaluate potential outcomes and select actions that maximize rewards, a process akin to mental rehearsal. This approach not only accelerates learning but also enables the agent to generalize to novel situations more effectively, as the learned model captures the underlying dynamics of the environment, rather than simply memorizing specific experiences. Consequently, Model-Based RL holds significant promise for tackling complex, real-world problems where direct interaction is costly, dangerous, or time-consuming.

The efficacy of Model-Based Reinforcement Learning hinges on the creation of a robust ‘World Model’ – an internal representation painstakingly learned from experience. This isn’t simply memorization; the World Model actively predicts what will happen next, given an agent’s prior observations and chosen actions. By forecasting future states, the agent can then mentally ‘plan’ a sequence of actions without needing to physically interact with the environment – a process dramatically reducing trial-and-error. Essentially, the agent builds a simulation within its own system, allowing it to evaluate potential outcomes and select the most advantageous course of action. The accuracy of this predictive capability directly correlates to the agent’s performance, making the development of sophisticated and reliable World Models a central focus of current research, particularly in complex, dynamic scenarios.

Our JEPA-WM model, trained on DROID and evaluated on the Robocasa “Reach” task, successfully plans actions with a horizon of 3, though it exhibits a slight leftward shift in predicted state compared to the ground truth simulator actions.
Our JEPA-WM model, trained on DROID and evaluated on the Robocasa “Reach” task, successfully plans actions with a horizon of 3, though it exhibits a slight leftward shift in predicted state compared to the ground truth simulator actions.

Visual Understanding Through Self-Supervised Learning

Effective model-based reinforcement learning (RL) relies heavily on the quality of the visual encoder responsible for processing raw sensory data, such as images. This encoder must accurately extract relevant features from the input to create a concise and informative state representation. A robust encoder minimizes information loss during this compression, enabling the world model to accurately predict future states and rewards. Insufficient feature extraction leads to poor predictive performance and hinders the RL agent’s ability to learn optimal policies; therefore, the visual encoder’s design is a critical factor in the overall success of a model-based RL system.

DINO-WM utilizes DINOv2, a self-supervised learning method, to construct its visual encoders. This approach bypasses the need for manually labeled datasets by training the encoder to predict different views of the same image, fostering the development of robust feature extraction capabilities. Specifically, DINOv2 employs a knowledge distillation technique with momentum teachers and student networks to learn representations invariant to various transformations and viewpoints. The resulting encoders, pre-trained on large, unlabeled image datasets, are then integrated into the world model architecture, providing a powerful foundation for understanding visual input without requiring task-specific labeled data.

DINOv2 achieves robust visual feature extraction through self-supervised learning, eliminating the need for manually labeled datasets. This approach involves training the model to recognize visual consistencies and relationships within unlabeled image data, resulting in learned features that are highly transferable and generalize effectively across diverse environments. The resulting visual representations demonstrably improve the performance of the downstream world model by providing a more accurate and informative state representation, contributing to state-of-the-art results in model-based reinforcement learning tasks. This self-supervised pre-training strategy allows DINO-WM to learn from significantly larger and more varied datasets than traditional supervised methods.

Across all tasks, models leveraging both image and video encoders demonstrate comparable success rates over training epochs, with DINO-WM and its larger Vit-L variant (WM-L) achieving consistent performance when trained using V-JEPA and V-JEPA2, as assessed through 96 independent episodes per epoch.
Across all tasks, models leveraging both image and video encoders demonstrate comparable success rates over training epochs, with DINO-WM and its larger Vit-L variant (WM-L) achieving consistent performance when trained using V-JEPA and V-JEPA2, as assessed through 96 independent episodes per epoch.

Enhancing Prediction Through Action Integration

Feature conditioning enhances world model performance by directly incorporating action information into the visual feature space. This is achieved through the concatenation of action embeddings – vector representations of the robot’s actions – with the visual features extracted from the observed environment. By providing the model with a combined representation, feature conditioning allows it to explicitly understand the relationship between actions and their resulting visual changes. This approach provides crucial context, enabling the model to better predict future states given a particular action and current observation, and ultimately improves the accuracy of the world model’s predictions.

Sequence Conditioning represents a method of integrating action embeddings into a world model by treating each action as a discrete token within the input sequence, alongside visual features. This differs from simply concatenating action embeddings; instead, it allows the model to learn relationships between actions and visual states as part of the sequential prediction process. By processing actions as tokens, the model can capture temporal dependencies and potentially predict future states more accurately based on the action history, leading to a richer and more expressive representation of the environment’s dynamics compared to methods that treat actions as static conditioning variables.

V-JEPA-2-AC demonstrates improved performance in robotic manipulation tasks by integrating both Feature Conditioning and Sequence Conditioning of action embeddings. This combined approach allows the model to leverage action context through both direct feature integration and nuanced sequential representation, resulting in enhanced predictive capabilities. Empirical evaluation across benchmark robotic environments – Metaworld, DROID, and Robocasa – confirms V-JEPA-2-AC’s superior performance compared to both DINO-WM and the baseline V-JEPA-2, establishing its effectiveness in complex manipulation scenarios.

Performance comparisons reveal that RoPE positional embeddings and AdaLN conditioning yield the best results for trajectory prediction, with predictor depth having a lesser impact on performance across both the Place and Reach tasks in Robocasa.
Performance comparisons reveal that RoPE positional embeddings and AdaLN conditioning yield the best results for trajectory prediction, with predictor depth having a lesser impact on performance across both the Place and Reach tasks in Robocasa.

The pursuit of effective physical planning, as demonstrated by this work on Joint-Embedding Predictive World Models, echoes a fundamental principle: simplification yields strength. The study meticulously dissects the components that contribute to successful planning-proprioceptive input, multi-step rollout loss, and visual encoder selection-revealing that robust performance isn’t achieved through complexity, but through careful distillation of essential elements. As Edsger W. Dijkstra observed, “It’s not enough to be busy; you must be busy with something that matters.” This research embodies that sentiment, prioritizing impactful design choices over elaborate architectures, and proving that a system stripped down to its core functionality can outperform its more convoluted counterparts. The efficacy of JEPA-WMs isn’t in what they add, but in what they eliminate – unnecessary features and redundant calculations.

What Lies Ahead?

The pursuit of predictive world models, as demonstrated, invariably encounters the limitations of its own ambition. This work clarifies certain architectural necessities – proprioceptive grounding, multi-step loss – but these are merely scaffolding. The fundamental challenge remains: can a model, however elegantly structured, truly anticipate the inherent messiness of reality? The gains observed represent incremental improvements, not a paradigm shift. The field now faces a critical juncture.

Future effort should not focus on increasingly complex architectures, but on rigorously defining the necessary complexity. The current trend of adding layers – visual encoders, attention mechanisms – risks obscuring the core principles. A parsimonious model, capable of distilling the essential dynamics, remains the ideal. The true measure of success will not be benchmark performance, but the ability to generalize beyond contrived environments.

Ultimately, the question isn’t about building better predictors, but about understanding what prediction reveals about the world itself. If a model fails to anticipate an event, is that a failure of the model, or a demonstration of fundamental unpredictability? The answer, though inconvenient, may be the most valuable insight of all.


Original article: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.24497.pdf

Contact the author: https://www.linkedin.com/in/avetisyan/

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2026-01-03 11:30