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2025 marks the first major box office confrontation of the year, where Disney’s live-action adaptation of “Lilo & Stitch” will face off against Tom Cruise’s supposedly final installment in the “Mission: Impossible” series titled “The Final Reckoning.” If past trends hold true, this clash could break box office records during Memorial Day Weekend. This anticipated event follows the pattern of previous blockbuster weekends like “Barbenheimer” and “Glicked,” setting the stage for a summer filled with high-profile releases. After a rocky start to 2025, Memorial Day weekend might signal a turnaround for the domestic box office.

The exceptional quality of the first two movies on the list doesn’t diminish the fact that Memorial Day Weekend is known for generating impressive box office revenues. In the past, Disney has claimed the top spot during Memorial Day Weekend with its live-action remakes, and this year’s highly anticipated release, Top Gun: Maverick, also debuted over this weekend. Given the strong potential of both Lilo & Stitch and The Final Reckoning, it seems likely that they will not only top a strong lineup to secure a substantial box office earnings, but could even set new records.

Box Office Projections Point To A Record-Breaking Memorial Day 2025

This Particular Movie Combination Could Yield An All-Time High

Initial predictions indicate that the film “Lilo & Stitch” is expected to dominate the box office this weekend, potentially earning around $120 million within the U.S. However, considering Disney’s aggressive promotional efforts for the movie, these figures might be underestimated. The remake of the 2002 animated original has garnered a strong response from critics, securing a Rotten Tomatoes score of 74% – one of the highest among Disney live-action remakes. With positive word-of-mouth and impressive presale numbers in play, there’s a good chance that it could surpass $140 million during its opening weekend.

Top 5 Disney Live-Action Remakes – Key Details
Movie Release Year Domestic Box Office Gross Domestic Opening Weekend RT Tomatometer Score RT Popcornmeter Score
The Lion King 2019 $543.6 million $191.8 million 52% 88%
Beauty and the Beast 2017 $504 million $174.7 million 71% 80%
The Jungle Book 2016 $364 million $103.2 million 94% 86%
Aladdin 2019 $355.5 million $91.5 million 57% 94%
Alice in Wonderland 2010 $334.1 million $116.1 million 51% 55%

Compared to A Minecraft Movie, Lilo & Stitch might experience a similar advantage due to its built-in audience, as millennial parents who grew up with the original animated version could contribute significantly. Although it may not reach the same heights as Minecraft, the initial $120 million projection appears overly modest.

As a movie enthusiast, I’ve got some exciting news about the latest installment in the Mission: Impossible series – “Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning”. It’s predicted to rake in around $80 million during its first four-day opening weekend over the holidays. Now, you might remember that “Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One” didn’t quite set the box office on fire when it debuted with a domestic take of $54 million. But It could even challenge for one of the highest Memorial Day Weekend earnings, overall.

Past Memorial Day Openings Prove Why This Year’s Big Combo Will Be So Successful

Combining A High-Profile Family Film And Four-Quadrant Blockbuster Has Yielded Huge Dividends

Over the past two decades, I’ve witnessed a unique trend unfold during Memorial Day Weekend. On four separate occasions, we’ve seen two blockbusters emerge, each earning at least $60 million domestically. In 2004, it was the enchanting tale of Shrek and the apocalyptic drama The Day After Tomorrow that dominated the box office, followed by Star Wars: Episode III – Revenge of the Sith and Madagascar in 2005. The pattern repeated itself in 2007 with Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End and Shrek The Third, and most recently in 2011 with Kung Fu Panda 2 and The Hangover Part II. Each time, this holiday weekend has showcased a high-profile animated family film squaring off against an adult-oriented action spectacle or comedy movie.

On Memorial Day Weekend, the pairing of “Lilo & Stitch” and “Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning” follows a proven pattern. A popular family film and an adult-focused action movie will be presented, each offering a touch of nostalgia. Although they may not be ideal for a double-feature like “Brad Pitt” or “Adam Sandler,” these movies will cater to a wide range of moviegoers, ensuring comprehensive coverage from different demographics, much like the successful Memorial Day Weekends in the past.

A Huge Memorial Day Could Save 2025’s Miserable Box Office Start

Several Key Blockbusters Have Disappointed So Far

2025’s first quarter didn’t meet expectations at the box office, despite the absence of COVID-19 and the WGA strike from 2023. Major movies like Captain America: Brave New World, Mickey 17, and Snow White underperformed, causing a 7% drop compared to the previous year. However, promising performances by Lilo & Stitch and The Final Reckoning could set the stage for a successful rest of the year, which is packed with highly anticipated releases.

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2025-05-21 12:39

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